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Punching Down: Beijing’s Playbook for Unwinding “Involutionary Competition”
How does an authoritarian government that has leaned heavily on “performance legitimacy” for decades sidestep popular ire amidst a prolonged economic slowdown? The discursive career of “involution” (内卷) from online meme to policy object reveals how Beijing adopted and then rebranded a social media buzzword to shift popular blame away from the center. On the surface, Xi’s new campaign to stamp out “involutionary competition” (‘内卷式’竞争) targets collusive practices between local
Patricia Thornton
Nov 3026 min read


Same Strategy, But Different Emphasis: Main Takeaways from the Central Committee’s Proposals for the 15th Five-Year Plan
The proposal for the 15 th Five-Year Plan (FYP), approved by the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party at its 4 th plenum in late October 2025, is substantively similar to the proposal for the 14 th FYP. The most important message conveyed in this document is that the party will continue to pursue the security-centered development strategy unveiled in October 2020. Based on the more pessimistic assessments of China’s external environment, the proposal for the ne
Minxin Pei
Nov 3018 min read


Changing Course in a Storm: China’s Economy in the Trade War
China is weathering deflation, a property-sector collapse, and renewed trade tensions with the United States through calculated restraint...
Gerard DiPippo
Aug 3132 min read


More Method than Madness: China’s Response to Trump’s New Tariff War
China’s initial response to America’s new trade war was cautious and restrained due to uncertainties about the Trump administration’s...
Minxin Pei
Aug 3123 min read


China Projects Confidence in the Face of Trump’s Tariff Storm
More than perhaps any other country or bloc in the world, for the past five-plus years China has been methodically fortifying its...
Ryan Hass
Aug 3119 min read


The Economic Costs of China’s Self-Reliance Drive
China’s drive for economic self-reliance stems from deep concerns that foreign nations could use technology and resources as leverage...
Nicholas Borst
Aug 3120 min read


Broke But Not (Yet) Bankrupt: Local Government Finance in the Age of Economic Stagnation
The combination of the real estate crash that started in 2021 and the Covid-19 lockdowns in 2022 has contributed to a dramatic fall in...
Minxin Pei
May 3024 min read


The U.S.-China Trade War: Implications for Central and Local Budgets
Although temporarily alleviated, the high tariff rates announced by the U.S. could have a major impact on China’s economy, although the...
Victor Shih
May 3016 min read
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