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Monday, December 1, 2025
Winter 2025 Issue 86


Editor's Note
At its Central Economic Work Conference in December 2024, the Chinese government made an unprecedented call for a “comprehensive rectification of involutionary competition.” The party’s invocation of a term that until then had been mostly applied to China’s test-based education system, whereby students spend many after-school hours cramming to gain an edge over their classmates. Unfortunately, because virtually all students engage in this same arms race, such an exercise cost
Minxin Pei
3 days ago3 min read


Punching Down: Beijing’s Playbook for Unwinding “Involutionary Competition”
How does an authoritarian government that has leaned heavily on “performance legitimacy” for decades sidestep popular ire amidst a prolonged economic slowdown? The discursive career of “involution” (内卷) from online meme to policy object reveals how Beijing adopted and then rebranded a social media buzzword to shift popular blame away from the center. On the surface, Xi’s new campaign to stamp out “involutionary competition” (‘内卷式’竞争) targets collusive practices between local
Patricia Thornton
3 days ago26 min read


Same Strategy, But Different Emphasis: Main Takeaways from the Central Committee’s Proposals for the 15th Five-Year Plan
The proposal for the 15 th Five-Year Plan (FYP), approved by the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party at its 4 th plenum in late October 2025, is substantively similar to the proposal for the 14 th FYP. The most important message conveyed in this document is that the party will continue to pursue the security-centered development strategy unveiled in October 2020. Based on the more pessimistic assessments of China’s external environment, the proposal for the ne
Minxin Pei
3 days ago18 min read


China’s Middle-Income Class, Macroeconomic Growth, and Common Prosperity
The emergence of a prosperous, middle-income class is seen as important for China’s drive for sustained macroeconomic growth and the achievement of common prosperity. Using household survey data and defining “middle income” as being neither poor nor rich in the developed countries, we examine whether China’s middle-income class can fulfill these expectations. We find that China has successfully grown a prosperous middle-income class, and this class contributed to past macroec
Terry Sicular, Xiuna Yang, and Bjorn Gustafsson
3 days ago23 min read
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